| Category | Score | Level | Active signals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Disease & health | 16/100 | Background | 1 · COVID 19 |
| Armed conflict | 18/100 | Background | 8 · Military Buildup |
| Civil unrest | 0/100 | Background | — |
| Climate & disasters | 3/100 | Background | 2 · Climate Stress |
| Transport disruption | 0/100 | Background | — |
| Border & crossing | 9/100 | Background | 1 · Entry Restriction |
| Infrastructure | 21/100 | Background | 2 · Grid Failure |
Scores are composite values on a 0–6 scale (normalised to 0–100), aggregated from open-source intelligence feeds across disease, conflict, civil unrest, climate, transport, border and infrastructure. Single-source signals are flagged and not promoted to synthesis without corroboration (honesty gate). Event entries link to their original source; Vigilo aggregates open sources and is not a news outlet. See the methodology or the live monitor.